Blitz Entertains Draft Pick Value Model
The Blitz league is currently reviewing methods to stabilize the transaction market – that is the market in which draft picks are sold/traded between teams. Currently the market enjoys a free value model in which teams are able to negotiate the values of their picks between potential buyers. The result of this practice is a market that is inconsistent season to season with values largely being dictated by teams who have money and those that need it. Further, those teams that do not plan to use their draft picks sell off their later round picks for pennies – further denigrating the fair value of those picks across the league and devaluing the earlier picks.
The Draft Pick Value chat represents trade value for draft picks. It gives a numerical representation of each pick to balance out trades: by this chart, pick 10 in the first round (369 points) is considered equivalent to pick 63 + pick 18 (287pts +82pts). Expansion picks and Compensatory picks re not included as they can not be traded or sold.
The median price is the base price for a given pick, with the minimum price being set 25% below the median and the maximum being set 20% above the median. Late round picks become greatly devalued in larger drafts. This has a few benefits: late round picks (picks > 85) are worth less than $10,000 and thus create a rather economical way to move these picks around and it takes quite a few of these picks to equal an earlier round pick value. In this way teams can still trade a combination of late round picks, but they also know the amount of extra cash they will need to be willing to pay to trade for an earlier round pick. For Example, the 77th pick is worth $12,000. If the 77th round pick was combined with the 33rd pick ($36,000) the team would have $48,000 of bargaining power and could potentially trade those two picks for between 15 and 30 (taking into account min and max values). Further that same 77th pick ($12,000) could be combined with $50,000 of cash in a trade for the 16th overall pick, etc.
| PICK | VALUE | MEDIAN | MIN | MAX |
| 1 | 1000 | $200,000 | $150,000 | $240,000 |
| 2 | 717 | $143,400 | $107,550 | $172,080 |
| 3 | 514 | $102,800 | $77,100 | $123,360 |
| 4 | 491 | $98,200 | $73,650 | $117,840 |
| 5 | 468 | $93,600 | $70,200 | $112,320 |
| 6 | 446 | $89,200 | $66,900 | $107,040 |
| 7 | 426 | $85,200 | $63,900 | $102,240 |
| 8 | 406 | $81,200 | $60,900 | $97,440 |
| 9 | 387 | $77,400 | $58,050 | $92,880 |
| 10 | 369 | $73,800 | $55,350 | $88,560 |
| 11 | 358 | $71,600 | $53,700 | $85,920 |
| 12 | 347 | $69,400 | $52,050 | $83,280 |
| 13 | 336 | $67,200 | $50,400 | $80,640 |
| 14 | 325 | $65,000 | $48,750 | $78,000 |
| 15 | 315 | $63,000 | $47,250 | $75,600 |
| 16 | 305 | $61,000 | $45,750 | $73,200 |
| 17 | 296 | $59,200 | $44,400 | $71,040 |
| 18 | 287 | $57,400 | $43,050 | $68,880 |
| 19 | 278 | $55,600 | $41,700 | $66,720 |
| 20 | 269 | $53,800 | $40,350 | $64,560 |
| 21 | 261 | $52,200 | $39,150 | $62,640 |
| 22 | 253 | $50,600 | $37,950 | $60,720 |
| 23 | 245 | $49,000 | $36,750 | $58,800 |
| 24 | 237 | $47,400 | $35,550 | $56,880 |
| 25 | 230 | $46,000 | $34,500 | $55,200 |
| 26 | 223 | $44,600 | $33,450 | $53,520 |
| 27 | 216 | $43,200 | $32,400 | $51,840 |
| 28 | 209 | $41,800 | $31,350 | $50,160 |
| 29 | 203 | $40,600 | $30,450 | $48,720 |
| 30 | 196 | $39,200 | $29,400 | $47,040 |
| 31 | 190 | $38,000 | $28,500 | $45,600 |
| 32 | 184 | $36,800 | $27,600 | $44,160 |
| 33 | 180 | $36,000 | $27,000 | $43,200 |
| 34 | 175 | $35,000 | $26,250 | $42,000 |
| 35 | 170 | $34,000 | $25,500 | $40,800 |
| 36 | 166 | $33,200 | $24,900 | $39,840 |
| 37 | 162 | $32,400 | $24,300 | $38,880 |
| 38 | 157 | $31,400 | $23,550 | $37,680 |
| 39 | 153 | $30,600 | $22,950 | $36,720 |
| 40 | 149 | $29,800 | $22,350 | $35,760 |
| 41 | 146 | $29,200 | $21,900 | $35,040 |
| 42 | 142 | $28,400 | $21,300 | $34,080 |
| 43 | 138 | $27,600 | $20,700 | $33,120 |
| 44 | 135 | $27,000 | $20,250 | $32,400 |
| 45 | 131 | $26,200 | $19,650 | $31,440 |
| 46 | 128 | $25,600 | $19,200 | $30,720 |
| 47 | 124 | $24,800 | $18,600 | $29,760 |
| 48 | 121 | $24,200 | $18,150 | $29,040 |
| 49 | 118 | $23,600 | $17,700 | $28,320 |
| 50 | 115 | $23,000 | $17,250 | $27,600 |
| 51 | 112 | $22,400 | $16,800 | $26,880 |
| 52 | 109 | $21,800 | $16,350 | $26,160 |
| 53 | 106 | $21,200 | $15,900 | $25,440 |
| 54 | 104 | $20,800 | $15,600 | $24,960 |
| 55 | 101 | $20,200 | $15,150 | $24,240 |
| 56 | 98 | $19,600 | $14,700 | $23,520 |
| 57 | 96 | $19,200 | $14,400 | $23,040 |
| 58 | 93 | $18,600 | $13,950 | $22,320 |
| 59 | 91 | $18,200 | $13,650 | $21,840 |
| 60 | 88 | $17,600 | $13,200 | $21,120 |
| 61 | 86 | $17,200 | $12,900 | $20,640 |
| 62 | 84 | $16,800 | $12,600 | $20,160 |
| 63 | 82 | $16,400 | $12,300 | $19,680 |
| 64 | 80 | $16,000 | $12,000 | $19,200 |
| 65 | 78 | $15,600 | $11,700 | $18,720 |
| 66 | 76 | $15,200 | $11,400 | $18,240 |
| 67 | 75 | $15,000 | $11,250 | $18,000 |
| 68 | 73 | $14,600 | $10,950 | $17,520 |
| 69 | 71 | $14,200 | $10,650 | $17,040 |
| 70 | 70 | $14,000 | $10,500 | $16,800 |
| 71 | 68 | $13,600 | $10,200 | $16,320 |
| 72 | 67 | $13,400 | $10,050 | $16,080 |
| 73 | 65 | $13,000 | $9,750 | $15,600 |
| 74 | 64 | $12,800 | $9,600 | $15,360 |
| 75 | 63 | $12,600 | $9,450 | $15,120 |
| 76 | 61 | $12,200 | $9,150 | $14,640 |
| 77 | 60 | $12,000 | $9,000 | $14,400 |
| 78 | 59 | $11,800 | $8,850 | $14,160 |
| 79 | 57 | $11,400 | $8,550 | $13,680 |
| 80 | 56 | $11,200 | $8,400 | $13,440 |
| 81 | 55 | $11,000 | $8,250 | $13,200 |
| 82 | 54 | $10,800 | $8,100 | $12,960 |
| 83 | 52 | $10,400 | $7,800 | $12,480 |
| 84 | 51 | $10,200 | $7,650 | $12,240 |
| 85 | 50 | $10,000 | $7,500 | $12,000 |
| 86 | 49 | $9,800 | $7,350 | $11,760 |
| 87 | 48 | $9,600 | $7,200 | $11,520 |
| 88 | 47 | $9,400 | $7,050 | $11,280 |
| 89 | 46 | $9,200 | $6,900 | $11,040 |
| 90 | 45 | $9,000 | $6,750 | $10,800 |
| 91 | 44 | $8,800 | $6,600 | $10,560 |
| 92 | 43 | $8,600 | $6,450 | $10,320 |
| 93 | 42 | $8,400 | $6,300 | $10,080 |
| 94 | 41 | $8,200 | $6,150 | $9,840 |
| 95 | 40 | $8,000 | $6,000 | $9,600 |
| 96 | 39 | $7,800 | $5,850 | $9,360 |
| 97 | 35 | $7,000 | $5,250 | $8,400 |
| 98 | 34 | $6,800 | $5,100 | $8,160 |
| 99 | 34 | $6,800 | $5,100 | $8,160 |
| 100 | 33 | $6,600 | $4,950 | $7,920 |
| 101 | 32 | $6,400 | $4,800 | $7,680 |
| 102 | 32 | $6,400 | $4,800 | $7,680 |
| 103 | 31 | $6,200 | $4,650 | $7,440 |
| 104 | 30 | $6,000 | $4,500 | $7,200 |
| 105 | 30 | $6,000 | $4,500 | $7,200 |
| 106 | 29 | $5,800 | $4,350 | $6,960 |
| 107 | 28 | $5,600 | $4,200 | $6,720 |
| 108 | 28 | $5,600 | $4,200 | $6,720 |
| 109 | 27 | $5,400 | $4,050 | $6,480 |
| 110 | 26 | $5,200 | $3,900 | $6,240 |
| 111 | 26 | $5,200 | $3,900 | $6,240 |
| 112 | 25 | $5,000 | $3,750 | $6,000 |
| 113 | 25 | $5,000 | $3,750 | $6,000 |
| 114 | 24 | $4,800 | $3,600 | $5,760 |
| 115 | 24 | $4,800 | $3,600 | $5,760 |
| 116 | 23 | $4,600 | $3,450 | $5,520 |
| 117 | 23 | $4,600 | $3,450 | $5,520 |
| 118 | 22 | $4,400 | $3,300 | $5,280 |
| 119 | 22 | $4,400 | $3,300 | $5,280 |
| 120 | 21 | $4,200 | $3,150 | $5,040 |
| 121 | 21 | $4,200 | $3,150 | $5,040 |
| 122 | 20 | $4,000 | $3,000 | $4,800 |
| 123 | 20 | $4,000 | $3,000 | $4,800 |
| 124 | 19 | $3,800 | $2,850 | $4,560 |
| 125 | 19 | $3,800 | $2,850 | $4,560 |
| 126 | 18 | $3,600 | $2,700 | $4,320 |
| 127 | 18 | $3,600 | $2,700 | $4,320 |
| 128 | 18 | $3,600 | $2,700 | $4,320 |
| 129 | 15 | $3,000 | $2,250 | $3,600 |
| 130 | 15 | $3,000 | $2,250 | $3,600 |
| 131 | 15 | $3,000 | $2,250 | $3,600 |
| 132 | 14 | $2,800 | $2,100 | $3,360 |
| 133 | 14 | $2,800 | $2,100 | $3,360 |
| 134 | 14 | $2,800 | $2,100 | $3,360 |
| 135 | 14 | $2,800 | $2,100 | $3,360 |
| 136 | 13 | $2,600 | $1,950 | $3,120 |
| 137 | 13 | $2,600 | $1,950 | $3,120 |
| 138 | 13 | $2,600 | $1,950 | $3,120 |
| 139 | 12 | $2,400 | $1,800 | $2,880 |
| 140 | 12 | $2,400 | $1,800 | $2,880 |
| 141 | 12 | $2,400 | $1,800 | $2,880 |
| 142 | 12 | $2,400 | $1,800 | $2,880 |
| 143 | 11 | $2,200 | $1,650 | $2,640 |
| 144 | 11 | $2,200 | $1,650 | $2,640 |
| 145 | 11 | $2,200 | $1,650 | $2,640 |
| 146 | 11 | $2,200 | $1,650 | $2,640 |
| 147 | 10 | $2,000 | $1,500 | $2,400 |
| 148 | 10 | $2,000 | $1,500 | $2,400 |
| 149 | 10 | $2,000 | $1,500 | $2,400 |
| 150 | 10 | $2,000 | $1,500 | $2,400 |
| 151 | 9 | $1,800 | $1,350 | $2,160 |
| 152 | 9 | $1,800 | $1,350 | $2,160 |
| 153 | 9 | $1,800 | $1,350 | $2,160 |
| 154 | 9 | $1,800 | $1,350 | $2,160 |
| 155 | 9 | $1,800 | $1,350 | $2,160 |
| 156 | 8 | $1,600 | $1,200 | $1,920 |
| 157 | 8 | $1,600 | $1,200 | $1,920 |
| 158 | 8 | $1,600 | $1,200 | $1,920 |
| 159 | 8 | $1,600 | $1,200 | $1,920 |
| 160 | 8 | $1,600 | $1,200 | $1,920 |
| 161 | 7 | $1,400 | $1,050 | $1,680 |
| 162 | 7 | $1,400 | $1,050 | $1,680 |
| 163 | 6 | $1,200 | $900 | $1,440 |
| 164 | 6 | $1,200 | $900 | $1,440 |
| 165 | 6 | $1,200 | $900 | $1,440 |
| 166 | 6 | $1,200 | $900 | $1,440 |
| 167 | 6 | $1,200 | $900 | $1,440 |
| 168 | 6 | $1,200 | $900 | $1,440 |
| 169 | 6 | $1,200 | $900 | $1,440 |
| 170 | 6 | $1,200 | $900 | $1,440 |
| 171 | 5 | $1,000 | $750 | $1,200 |
| 172 | 5 | $1,000 | $750 | $1,200 |
| 173 | 5 | $1,000 | $750 | $1,200 |
| 174 | 5 | $1,000 | $750 | $1,200 |
| 175 | 5 | $1,000 | $750 | $1,200 |
| 176 | 5 | $1,000 | $750 | $1,200 |
| 177 | 5 | $1,000 | $750 | $1,200 |
| 178 | 5 | $1,000 | $750 | $1,200 |
| 179 | 5 | $1,000 | $750 | $1,200 |
| 180 | 4 | $800 | $600 | $960 |
| 181 | 4 | $800 | $600 | $960 |
| 182 | 4 | $800 | $600 | $960 |
| 183 | 4 | $800 | $600 | $960 |
| 184 | 4 | $800 | $600 | $960 |
| 185 | 4 | $800 | $600 | $960 |
| 186 | 4 | $800 | $600 | $960 |
| 187 | 4 | $800 | $600 | $960 |
| 188 | 4 | $800 | $600 | $960 |
| 189 | 4 | $800 | $600 | $960 |
| 190 | 4 | $800 | $600 | $960 |
| 191 | 3 | $600 | $450 | $720 |
| 192 | 3 | $600 | $450 | $720 |
| 193 | 3 | $600 | $450 | $720 |
| 194 | 3 | $600 | $450 | $720 |
| 195 | 2 | $400 | $300 | $480 |
| 196 | 2 | $400 | $300 | $480 |
| 197 | 2 | $400 | $300 | $480 |
| 198 | 2 | $400 | $300 | $480 |
| 199 | 2 | $400 | $300 | $480 |
| 200 | 2 | $400 | $300 | $480 |
| 201 | 2 | $400 | $300 | $480 |
| 202 | 2 | $400 | $300 | $480 |
| 203 | 2 | $400 | $300 | $480 |
| 204 | 2 | $400 | $300 | $480 |
| 205 | 2 | $400 | $300 | $480 |
| 206 | 2 | $400 | $300 | $480 |
| 207 | 2 | $400 | $300 | $480 |
| 208 | 2 | $400 | $300 | $480 |
| 209 | 2 | $400 | $300 | $480 |
| 210 | 2 | $400 | $300 | $480 |
| 211 | 2 | $400 | $300 | $480 |
| 212 | 2 | $400 | $300 | $480 |
| 213 | 2 | $400 | $300 | $480 |
| 214 | 2 | $400 | $300 | $480 |
| 215 | 2 | $400 | $300 | $480 |
| 216 | 2 | $400 | $300 | $480 |
| 217 | 2 | $400 | $300 | $480 |
| 218 | 1 | $200 | $150 | $240 |
| 219 | 1 | $200 | $150 | $240 |
| 220 | 1 | $200 | $150 | $240 |
| 221 | 1 | $200 | $150 | $240 |
| 222 | 1 | $200 | $150 | $240 |
| 223 | 1 | $200 | $150 | $240 |
The above chart has not been adopted by the Blitz League as of the writing of this article.
